Section 4: The Tax Multiplier and the Balanced Budget Multiplier
How a Change in Taxes Affects GDP If an increase in government spending leads to an increase in total spending and GDP, then an increase in taxes must lead to a decrease in total spending and GDP, and vice versa. When the government raises taxes, private spending decreases. Keynes noted, however, that the decrease in overall spending from a tax increase is not as large as the increase in overall spending from the same amount of a government spending increase. The reason for this is that people save a portion of their additional income (tax refund) whereas the government spends all of its money. The example in the next paragraph illustrates this. The Tax Multiplier Let’s say that taxes increase by $1,000. Therefore, people’s after-tax income (income available for consumption or savings) decreases by $1,000. If the MPC is 80%, then people would have only consumed $800 of this $1,000. Therefore, total spending throughout the economy decreases by 5 (the multiplier) times $800 = $4,000. This $4,000 is 4 times the change in taxes. Mathematically, we can prove that the tax multiplier is the negative of the spending multiplier minus 1. In the above example, the regular spending multiplier from the previous section is 5 and, therefore, the tax multiplier is -4. Thus, The tax multiplier = – (the regular multiplier – 1) In the above example: The tax...
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